malou trading
tricks of the

trade

All trading is ultimately discretionary. - Ed Seykota

foundational principles for speculation
  1. 0.Cut your losses.Trading financial instruments can and will lead to painful losses — think risk first and always cut each and every loss, the sooner the better.
  2. 1.Never average down.If your first trade shows you a loss, it would be unwise to add to it. Also, if it is a losing trade, why not cut it instead of adding?
  3. 2.Price is signal.Human judgment is often flawed and usually wrong. Let the market confirm your thesis before taking action. Buy not at the lowest price but at the right price where the odds are greatest.

trading markets

philosophy

Pure discretionary macro

inspired by Jesse Livermore, Mark Minervini & Ed Seykota

Most finance professionals nowadays agree that speculating based on your experience and "gut feeling" is… wrong. But in order to achieve outsized returns one must, generally speaking, do something that most others don’t. Meanwhile, quant-oriented approaches have dominated Wall Street for the last 50 years and will continue to do so. I think the human judgment has gotten a little bit of a bad reputation and since Ed Seykota is right in stating that "All trading is ultimately discretionary" I consider it a feature, not a bug, that the alpaca turtle wikifolio’s trading system is: pure discretionary global macro.

strategys&p 500
live · wikifolio
  • global macro
  • discretionary
  • long, short, leveraged
wikifolio

alpaca turtle

isin de000ls9syp5 · lang & schwarz · live since nov 2020

since inception
12 months
p.a.
max dd
volatility
invested
philosophy

Buy strength. Ride the trend. Let the stop decide.

turtle-style systematic trend following

Thirty leveraged ETFs, one rule: buy the strongest of the pack the moment it breaks its seven-day high — at most three positions, each guarded by a stop that only ever tightens. No forecasts, no targets, no opinions: losses are cut small and automatically, winners run until the trend itself ends. The system loses often and small, wins rarely and big — and when nothing is breaking out, cash is the position.

strategys&p 500
live · alpaca
  • leveraged us etfs
  • algorithmic trend following
  • long/short
algorithmic

us momentum

leveraged etfs · alpaca markets · turtle-style breakout

return
win rate
trades
max dd
avg win
payoff
watching the

world

The market is never wrong – opinions often are. - Jesse Livermore

the tape — six markets, one glance

2 years · daily candles · free public data, source under every chart

the words — daily newspaper text analysis

share of articles on war, tensions and policy doubt · daily indices · higher = louder alarm

GPR: Caldara/Iacoviello · matteoiacoviello.com  |  EPU: Baker/Bloom/Davis · policyuncertainty.com

the ships — what actually passes the gates

daily transits through the world's chokepoints · 7-day mean

IMF PortWatch · portwatch.imf.org · AIS vessel tracking, ~2 days lag

the odds — what real capital bets on next

top 7 by money at risk · one bet per theme · implied yes-probability

Polymarket gamma-api · Kalshi trade-api (CFTC-regulated)

file the

news

The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time. - Jesse Livermore

daily intelligence for continuous learning - trying to bring news without bias

malou trading · est. 2024

we make code, design & finance

benjamin suermann bs

Benjamin Suermann

"Moin."

about

Hi, since I exist in this world and need to do something I decided to do this. Have fun :P

claude c

Claude

"Der Gerät ist immer vor Chef auf Arbeit, der Gerät ist nie müde."

about

Whirring.. Moseying... Vibing... Smooshing.... Frolicking... Percolating...

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Part IIII Am An Instrument
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malou

Malou

Reminiscences
of a Stock
Operator
Edwin Lefèvre
Zen in the
Art of
Archery
Eugen Herrigel
The Education
of a
Speculator
Victor Niederhoffer